Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.019505 0.022692 0.026210 0.030377 0.035175 0.040522 0.046931
2025-12-07 0.014732 0.018844 0.023802 0.030203 0.038236 0.047970 0.060644
2025-12-14 0.011186 0.015544 0.021215 0.029106 0.039766 0.053635 0.073006
2025-12-21 0.008965 0.013403 0.019581 0.028757 0.041977 0.060265 0.087399
2025-12-28 0.007860 0.012535 0.019440 0.030297 0.046838 0.070970 0.108685
2026-01-04 0.006829 0.011552 0.018915 0.031108 0.050646 0.080544 0.129498
2026-01-11 0.005670 0.010141 0.017473 0.030218 0.051625 0.085867 0.144403
2026-01-18 0.004855 0.009143 0.016512 0.029905 0.053393 0.092513 0.162060
2026-01-25 0.004116 0.008140 0.015371 0.029082 0.054120 0.097438 0.177326
2026-02-01 0.003545 0.007344 0.014462 0.028505 0.055144 0.102895 0.194016
2026-02-08 0.003107 0.006727 0.013782 0.028230 0.056634 0.109265 0.212949
2026-02-15 0.002688 0.006073 0.012930 0.027489 0.057115 0.113791 0.228906
2026-02-22 0.002513 0.005911 0.013049 0.028729 0.061680 0.126621 0.262335
2026-03-01 0.002245 0.005502 0.012598 0.028729 0.063746 0.134852 0.287746
2026-03-08 0.001937 0.004948 0.011753 0.027764 0.063667 0.138776 0.304925
2026-03-15 0.001722 0.004573 0.011248 0.027472 0.064982 0.145685 0.329026
2026-03-22 0.001649 0.004536 0.011512 0.028967 0.070442 0.161933 0.374755
2026-03-29 0.001538 0.004384 0.011478 0.029755 0.074381 0.175293 0.415609
2026-04-05 0.001350 0.003996 0.010810 0.028908 0.074371 0.179867 0.437305
2026-04-12 0.001214 0.003722 0.010387 0.028612 0.075640 0.187471 0.466731
2026-04-19 0.001072 0.003405 0.009807 0.027823 0.075586 0.191965 0.489327
2026-04-26 0.000956 0.003147 0.009341 0.027271 0.076054 0.197742 0.515597
2026-05-03 0.000866 0.002945 0.009000 0.027008 0.077236 0.205369 0.547174